electionstracker

Opinion polls for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election

As of , the newest poll for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election, from Forsa, puts CDU at 29.0%, AfD at 22.0% and Grüne at 18.0%. This page lists 26 polls published after the election of , each with its pollster and fieldwork dates.

Newest poll

The newest poll, from Forsa, published 23 September 2026; asked 7 September 2026 to 18 September 2026.

Party%± points against the federal average
CDU29.0+9.2
AfD22.0−6.1
Grüne18.0+2.9
SPD14.0+1.3
Linke8.0−3.6
FDP3.0−1.4
Other parties6.0

CDU is compared with the federal average of CDU/CSU.

What stands out

  • CDU: 9.2 points above CDU/CSU's federal average of 23 September 2026 (19.8%).
  • AfD: 6.1 points below the federal average of 23 September 2026 (28.1%).
  • Linke: 3.6 points below the federal average of 23 September 2026 (11.6%).

Trend

Each party's share in each poll, by the day the poll was published

Every poll since the 2022 election

PollsterPublishedAskedPeopleCDUAfDGrüneSPDLinkeFDPOther partiesIn average
Forsafor Kölner Stadt-Anzeiger / Kölnische Rundschau, Telefonisch to 1,03029.022.018.014.08.03.06.0Yes
Infratest dimapfor WDR-Westpol, Telefon & Online to 1,13932.017.015.017.06.05.08.0
INSAfor BILD, Online to 1,00034.017.015.018.09.04.03.0
Forsafor NRW-Tageszeitungen, Online to 1,53132.020.017.014.06.03.08.0
Infratest dimapfor WDR-Westpol, Telefon & Online to 1,16435.015.013.020.06.04.07.0
INSAfor BILD, Online to 1,00036.016.012.019.07.05.05.0
INSAfor NIUS, Online to 1,00035.016.013.018.08.04.03.0
Forsafor NRW-Tageszeitungen, Online to 1,50738.016.013.017.07.03.04.0
Infratest dimapfor WDR-Westpol, Telefon & Online to 1,16539.014.015.016.07.03.03.0
Forsafor NRW-Tageszeitungen, Online to 1,50841.013.014.016.02.03.08.0
Infratest dimapfor WDR-Westpol, Telefon & Online to 1,16740.013.014.018.03.08.0
Forsafor General-Anzeiger Bonn, Telefonisch to 1,06040.012.014.016.01.05.08.0
Infratest dimapfor WDR-Westpol, Telefon & Online to 1,18138.011.017.019.05.07.0
Forsafor NRW-Tageszeitungen, Online to 1,50237.013.016.016.02.04.08.0
Infratest dimapfor WDR-Westpol, Telefon & Online to 1,16135.014.018.018.05.010.0
Institut Wahlkreisprognosefor Institut Wahlkreisprognose, Online to 1,10033.518.016.519.52.04.56.0
Infratest dimapfor WDR-Westpol, Telefon & Online to 1,15932.015.016.022.03.06.06.0
Forsafor NRW-Tageszeitungen, Online to 1,50637.013.014.021.03.05.07.0
INSAfor BILD, Online to 1,00036.09.017.022.03.07.06.0
Forsafor FUNKE NRW Redaktionsgesellschaft, Online to 1,00538.08.017.020.04.05.08.0
Forsafor SAT.1 NRW, Telefonisch to 1,00636.08.018.022.03.05.08.0
Institut Wahlkreisprognosefor Institut Wahlkreisprognose, Online to 1,40031.012.519.024.51.55.56.0
Infratest dimapfor WDR-Westpol, Telefon & Online to 1,18532.09.022.023.05.09.0
Forsafor NRW-Tageszeitungen, Online to 1,51136.09.020.021.03.05.06.0
INSAfor BILD, Online to 1,00036.05.021.022.03.07.06.0
Institut Wahlkreisprognosefor Institut Wahlkreisprognose, Online to 1,04037.06.015.527.52.06.06.0

Pollsters

PollsterPollsLatestIn the average
Forsa10Yes
Infratest dimap8
INSA5
Institut Wahlkreisprognose3

Other state parliaments

The federal polls and every state's latest.

How this page is made

The average takes the newest poll of each pollster published in the 30 days up to the date of the newest poll, counting only polls published after the last election. Each party's figure is the mean of its shares in the polls that report it, rounded to one decimal, and a party is listed when at least half of those polls report it. Every poll is used as DAWUM publishes it; no poll is weighted or adjusted. A poll is a snapshot of what a sample said when asked, not a forecast, and this page shows no seat projection. If DAWUM edits or withdraws a poll, this page follows.

No law in Germany stops the publication of opinion polls before an election. Only exit polls, which ask people who have already voted, may not be published before the polling stations close at 18:00 (Berlin time). Bundeswahlgesetz, section 32, read .

Daten von dawum.de (Open Database License (ODbL)). The database as DAWUM publishes it.

Sources and licence

Sources and licence

Our text and compilation: CC BY 4.0. How to reuse and cite this page.