electionstracker

Opinion polls for the Hesse state election

As of , the newest poll for the Hesse state election, from INSA, puts CDU at 30.0%, AfD at 22.0% and SPD at 15.0%. This page lists 10 polls published after the election of , each with its pollster and fieldwork dates.

Newest poll

The newest poll, from INSA, published 29 April 2026; asked 14 April 2026 to 21 April 2026.

Party%± points against a month earlier± points against the federal average
CDU30.0−1.0+5.7
AfD22.0+1.0−4.0
SPD15.00.0+1.9
Grüne13.00.0−0.8
Linke7.0+1.0−3.8
Freie Wähler4.0+1.0
FDP3.0−1.0−0.7
Other parties6.0+2.0

CDU is compared with the federal average of CDU/CSU.

What stands out

  • CDU: 5.7 points above CDU/CSU's federal average of 29 April 2026 (24.3%).
  • AfD: 4.0 points below the federal average of 29 April 2026 (26.0%).
  • Linke: 3.8 points below the federal average of 29 April 2026 (10.8%).

Trend

Each party's share in each poll, by the day the poll was published

Every poll since the 2023 election

PollsterPublishedAskedPeopleCDUAfDSPDGrüneLinkeFreie WählerFDPOther partiesIn average
INSAfor BILD, Online to 1,00030.022.015.013.07.04.03.06.0Yes
INSAfor BILD, Online to 1,00131.021.015.013.06.03.04.04.0
Infratest dimapfor Hessischer Rundfunk, Telefon & Online to 1,14832.020.016.014.06.03.09.0
INSAfor BILD, Online to 97632.020.015.012.07.03.04.04.0
Infratest dimapfor Hessischer Rundfunk, Telefon & Online to 1,15036.018.013.014.06.04.06.0
INSAfor BILD, Online to 1,00031.019.014.012.09.02.03.05.0
Forsafor Osthessen|News, Telefonisch to 1,00338.016.015.014.03.03.08.0
INSAfor BILD, Online to 1,00032.018.013.013.02.04.05.05.0
Infratest dimapfor Hessischer Rundfunk, Telefon & Online to 1,15937.016.015.015.05.09.0
INSAfor BILD, Online to 1,00033.018.014.012.03.04.04.06.0

Pollsters

PollsterPollsLatestIn the average
INSA6Yes
Infratest dimap3
Forsa1

Other state parliaments

The federal polls and every state's latest.

How this page is made

The average takes the newest poll of each pollster published in the 30 days up to the date of the newest poll, counting only polls published after the last election. Each party's figure is the mean of its shares in the polls that report it, rounded to one decimal, and a party is listed when at least half of those polls report it. Every poll is used as DAWUM publishes it; no poll is weighted or adjusted. A poll is a snapshot of what a sample said when asked, not a forecast, and this page shows no seat projection. If DAWUM edits or withdraws a poll, this page follows.

No law in Germany stops the publication of opinion polls before an election. Only exit polls, which ask people who have already voted, may not be published before the polling stations close at 18:00 (Berlin time). Bundeswahlgesetz, section 32, read .

Daten von dawum.de (Open Database License (ODbL)). The database as DAWUM publishes it.

Sources and licence

Sources and licence

Our text and compilation: CC BY 4.0. How to reuse and cite this page.